Program Evaluation Review Technique

PERT – Program (Project) evaluation Review Technique is a project management tool & is a graphical representation of a project’s timeline.

PERT charts were introduced by the U.S. Navy consultants Booz | Allen | Hamilton in 1957 to guide a nuclear submarine project.

PERT is a technique in project management that we apply to manage uncertain activities of any project.

On the other hands a Critical Path method – CPM is a statistical technique where we have a set of well-determined activities of the given project.

Both PERT and CPM help the project manager of the stakeholders to manage and control the project outcomes in a systematic approach.

A PERT chart is just a priority brand of network charts.

There are basically two Project Management Tools;

  1. Critical Path Method – CPM
  2. Program (Project) Evaluation Review Technique – PERT

Both are pretty much the same. It’s just a stylistic approach to represent.

Activities on Arrow in PERT1

 

Activities on Node in CPM

Let’s see a detailed comparison;AOA & AON Comparison

For more understanding of AOA or AON visit Network Diagrams

The other major difference is the Critical path method uses the single point estimation whereas PERT uses three-point estimation called;

  • Optimistic
  • Most Likely
  • Pessimistic

Like in the critical path we say;

Activity A duration = 10 days

But in PERT we use like;

  • Optimistic = 7 days (fastest possible)
  • Most Likely= 10 days (as a CPM)
  • Pessimistic = 14 days (longest we assume)

Make sure this Optimistic and pessimistic may not be symmetrical. There is no such relation.

PERT Formula

We use & combine here;

  • Optimistic
  • Most Likely
  • Pessimistic

PERT Method = (1xP + 4xM + 1xO)/6

Here, we typically give more weight to most likely.

By the way, we can modify it like;

PERT Method = (1xP + 4xM + 2xO)/7

We can also increase the most likely weight more like

PERT Method = (1xP + 6xM + 1xO)/8

Standard Deviation in PERT

We also calculate the standard deviation to calculate the variation on our average.

S.D = (O – P)/6

How to Draw a PERT Chart

Let’s see a simple example to draw a PERT chart. By the way, you need to play with complex networks as there are a number of software to help you out there.

Below is the table with activities duration & predecessors.

Activity NameDuration (Days)Predecessor
A4None
B3A
C1A
D5B
E2C
F6D, E

Before we get deeper make sure to remember these points in PERT;

  • A node is just an event or a point of time
  • Activities are represented on arrow or arc.
  • Activities (arc) leaving a node cannot be started until the activities entering the node are completed.
  • There is an only a single started node that outflows the activities and also single ending node with an inflow of activities.

Step 1-: We need to draw the activities AOA. We need to keep the relationship as you can see in the table. Here is what we will get;

How to draw a PERT chart Example 1

Step 2-: Now we need to number the nodes. The main point to remember if you got two nodes simultaneously then you need to prioritize horizontally like below you will see I numbered nodes 3 & 4.

The rest is just number from left to right.

How to draw a PERT chart Example 2

Step 3-: Now,  add the duration on your chart so that we can figure out the critical path on that PERT network.

How to draw a PERT chart Example 3

Here are two paths from start to finish

Path 1: A, B, D & F = 4+3+5+6 = 18 days

Path 2: A, C, E & F = 4+1+2+6 = 13 days

Hence Path 1 is the critical path with 18 days.

This is how we draw a PERT chart and calculate the critical path in PERT.

Note: This is a really simple example of a PERT chart. You may to calculate duration with three-point estimation and also standard deviation if not given to you. This you can do with the of formulas I have stated already.

If you need anymore example then let me know in comments.

Advantages of PERT Chart

As a Project Manager you may need to draw a PERT chart for:

  • To determine the critical path that helps to prioritize the tasks.
  • To display interdependencies among activities.
  • To make an estimate about the project completion date
  • To handle and understand complex projects.
  • To have better coordination among team members
  • To perform a what-if analysis that helps to identify uncertainties

Disadvantages of PERT Chart

First of all, you must need experienced professional to make estimates and logics otherwise its a pitfall to use PERT. There are also some disadvantage to using PERT technique;

  • PERT is Time Focused. You need to make precise estimations.
  • PERT technique is labour-intensive & need professional resources
  • It is very hard to use PERT if you have projects with shareable resources.
  • Once you finalize a PERT then it is hard to change the relationship among activities.
  • Hard to manage interdependences for complex projects.
  • As we need more resources and hence is expensive

Difference between PERT & CPM

There are quite a few differences when we consider to use any of these to apply to our project.

BasisCPMPERT
Full NameCritical Path MethodProgram (Project) Evaluation and Review Technique
MeaningCPM is a statistical technique and we use it to manage the activities of a project.PERT is a technique that we use to manage the uncertain task of a project.
MethodIt is used to plan & control both cost and timeIt helps to plan & control time only
Best forConstruction projects. Non-research project. Example-ship building, civil constructionResearch and development projects
ManageIt helps to manage Predictable activitiesWe use it for Unpredictable activities
OrientationThis is an Activity-oriented technique.This is an Event Oriented technique.
CrashingWe can crash the project later onWe cannot crash a project in PERT
Nature of jobsRepetitive nature jobs can be handledNon-repetitive nature
Time EstimatesOne time estimateWe make here Three-time estimates
ModelCPM follows Deterministic ModelPERT follows Probabilistic Model

Difference between PERT & Gantt Chart

I can simply say;

A PERT chart is drawn at the start of any project while Gantt Chart helps during tracking of it.

Wrap Up

We use PERT if we have time priority and cannot delay any. But we use CPM to control both Time & cost simultaneously.

Both CPM and PERT are the two tools helping the project managers out there. Nowadays, we use to merge these and not rely on a single technique if possible and we have resources.

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